Philippe Naveau
News
Special issue of the journal Extremes on Statistics of Extremes in Weather and Climate, Volume 13, Number 2 / June, 2010
My Research interests
Statistical climatology and hydrology, extreme value theory, time series analysis, spatial statistics
Education and work experience
Distinctions and prizes
- Prix La Recherche, mention Prix du Ministere (with 7 colleagues) (2006)
- Prix Louis D. (2004). Prix scientifique de l’ Institut de France (shared among 12 scientists).
- Young scientists award of The ISI International Conference on Environmental Statistics and Health (2003).
- “The Moyal Prize in Applied Probability”, Colorado State University (1999).
- “Madison Award for Outstanding Achievement”, Colorado State University (1997).
Professional responsabilities
Grants & Projects
- Principal Investigator of the “GIS PEPER" project jan 2010 - dec 2012
- Work Package Leader of “probabilistic modelling of extreme avalanches” within projet ANR MOPERA
(MOdelisation Probabiliste pour l’Evaluation du Risque Avalanche) lead by Nicolas Eckert, 2009-2012
- Work Package Leader of WP3 (Extremes Events) of “FP7 European grant ACQWA (Assessing Climate impacts on the Quantity and quality of WAter), 2008-2011, lead by Martin Beniston
-
- Principal Investigator of the “ Agence National de la Recherche” project “AssimilEx”, 2006- 2009
- Principal Investigator of the National Science Foundation grant (USA) “Development of Spatio-temporal and Multi-resolution Methods in Climate”, 2004- 2007
- Work Package Leader (WP3) of the European grant E2C2 “Extremes Events : Cause and Consequences” 2005-2008
- Collaborator of the “The Weather and Climate Impact Assessment Science Initiative”, National Center Atmospheric Research (USA), 2004-2008Teaching experience
- Collaborator of the “The Weather and Climate Impact Assessment Science Initiative”, National Center Atmospheric Research (USA), 2004-2008Teaching experience
Past and current students and postdocs
- Julie Carreau (postdoc, 2007-2009), EVT + neural networks
- Maalak Kallache (postdoc, 2008-2010), Downscaling, Bayesian Moving Averaging
- Mathieu Vrac (postdoc, 2006-2008), Downscaling
- Christian Scholzel (postdoc, 2006-2008), EVT
- Pierre Ribereau (postdoc, 2005-2006), EVT
- Ophelie Guin (PhD student, 2008-2011), Bayesian Hiercharchical Modeling
- Julien Gazeaux (PhhD student, 2007-2010), co-advisor = Slimane Bekki (LATMOS), state-space modeling
- Alexis Hannart (PhD student, 2007-2010), change point detections
- Alexandre You (PhD student, 2006-2009), EVT, co-advisor = Armelle Guillou
- Cedric Flecher (PhD, 2006-2009), co-advisors = Denis Allard and Nadine Brisson, skew-normal distributions
- Dan Cooley (PhD, 2002-2005), EVT
- Deborah Batista and Jenny Fox (master, CU Boulder, 2005-2005), state-space modeling
- Paul Poncet (2004) and Cyrille Jegat (2005) (master, Ecole des mines), EVT and state-space modeling
Teaching experience
- Lecturer at Ecole Nationale de la Meteorologie, Toulouse June 2009, time series analysis
- Lecturer at Ecole Centrale Marseille 2008-2009, “Risques climatiques”
- Lecturer at the E2C2 summer school on extremes (Roumania, 2-12 sept 2007)
- Lecturer at a one-week summer school “”Statistiques et Sciences de l’Environnement” in Cargese, 2004
- Extreme value theory, Statistical Methods at Colorado University (Spring 2003)
- Calculus III at Colorado University (Spring 2003)
- Statistical Methods at Colorado University (Fall 2002)
- General Statistics, Introduction to Statistical methods, Statistics for Business Students at Colorado State University (1995-1998)
Publications
Submitted
- Batista, D. ; Naveau, P. ; Ammann, C. An Automatic and Multivariate Statistical Algorithm to Extract Common Pulse-Like Forcing Factors in Climatic Multivariate Time Series. Submitted.
- Cooley D., R. Davis and P. Naveau. Prediction for Max-Stable Processes via an Approximated Conditional Density, submitted.
- Kallache M., E. Maksimovichc, P-A. Michelangeli and P. Naveau. Multi-model combination by a Bayesian hierar-
chical model : Assessment of ice accumulation over the oceanic Arctic region Journal of Climate, (2009, revised).
- Flecher C., D. Allard and P. Naveau. Truncated skew-normal distributions : moments, estimation by weighted
moments and application to climatic data, Metron (2009, in review).
- Hannart A., P. Naveau and O. Mestre. A hierarchical information criterion for multiple change-point models. Submitted.
2010
- Flecher C., P. Naveau, D. Allard and N. Brisson. A Stochastic Daily Weather Generator for Skewed Data, Water
Resources Research, (2010, in press).
- You A., P. Naveau, U. Schneider and A. Guillou. Improving extreme quantile estimation by taking the whole sample into account, JSPI (2010, in press).
- Ammann C. M., and P. Naveau (2010), A Statistical Volcanic Forcing-Scenario Generator for Climate Simulations, J. Geophys. Res., doi:10.1029/2009JD012550. in press.
2009
- Carreau J., P. Naveau and E. Sauquet. A Statistical Rainfall-Runoff Mixture Model with Heavy-Tailed Compo-
nents, WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, VOL. 45, W10437, doi:10.1029/2009WR007880, 2009
- Boreux J.J, P. Naveau, O. Guin, L. Perreault, and J. Bernier, Extracting a common high frequency signal from
northern Quebec black spruce tree-rings with a Bayesian hierarchical model, Clim. Past, 5, 607–613, 2009 www.clim-past.net/5/607/2009.
- Hannart A. and P. Naveau. Bayesian multiple change-points and segmentation : application to homogenization of climatic series, Water Resources Research (2009). doi:10.1029/2008WR007689
- Hannart A., J.-L. Dufresne and P. Naveau. Why climate sensitivity may not be so unpredictable. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 36, L16707, doi:10.1029/2009GL039640, 2009
- Naveau P., Guillou A., D. Cooley and J. Diebolt. Modeling Pairwise Dependence of Maxima in Space. Biometrika,
(2009), 96, 1, pp. 1–17 doi : 10.1093/biomet/asp001.
- Guillou A., P. Naveau, D. Diebolt and P. Ribereau, Return level bounds for discrete and continuous random variables, Test (2009) 18: 584–604 DOI 10.1007/s11749-008-0125-7
- Salameh T., P. Drobinski, M. Vrac and P. Naveau, Statistical downscaling of near-surface wind over complex
terrain in southern France, Meteorol Atmos Phys 103, 253–265 (2009) DOI 10.1007/s00703-008-0330-7
- Flecher C., P. Naveau and D. Allard. Estimating the closed skew-normal distributions parameters using weighted moments, Statistics and Probability Letters 79 (2009) 1977–1984. doi:10.1016/j.spl.2009.06.004
- Toulemonde G., Guillou A., Naveau P. , M. Vrac, and F. Chevallier. Autoregressive models for maxima and their applications to CH4, Environmetrics (2009), DOI : 10.1002/env.992.
2008
- Bernacchia A. and P. Naveau (2008). Detecting spatial patterns with the cumulant function. Part I : The theory, Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 15, 159–167.
- Ribereau P, A. Guillou and P. Naveau. Estimating return levels from maxima of non-stationary random
sequences, Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 15, 1–7, 2008 www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/15/1/2008/
- Bernacchia A., P. Naveau, M. Vrac and P. Yiou (2008). Detecting spatial
patterns with the cumulant function. Part II: An application to El Nino, Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 15, 169–177.
- Rabatel, A., V. Jomelli, B. Francou and P. Naveau (2008). A chronology of the
Little Ice Age in the tropical Andes of Bolivia (16S) based on moraine dating by lichenometry: implications for climate reconstruction. Quaternary Research, 70 (2), p.198-212, Sep 2008 .
- Dielbolt J., Guillou A., Naveau, P. and Ribereau P. (2008). Improving Probability-Weighted Moment Methods for the Generalized Extreme Value Distribution, Volume 6, Number 1, 33-50, RevStat.
- Jomelli V., V. Favier, A. Rabatel, D. Brunstein, P. Naveau, G. Hoffmann, B. Francou. (2008).Fluctuations of Andean tropical glaciers since the last millennium and palaeoclimatic implication: a review. Paleogeography, Paleoclimatology Paleoecology (in press).
2007
- Allard D. and P. Naveau, Simulating and analyzing Spatial Skew Normal random fields (2007). Communications in Statistics Volume 36, Issue 9.
- Furrer R. and Naveau P., Probability Weighted Moments Properties for Small Samples (2007). Satistics and Probability Letters, 77 190-195.
- Cooley D., D. Nychka and P. Naveau (2007). Bayesian Spatial Modeling of Extreme Precipitation Return Levels, Journal of The American Statistical Associatio, 102(479):824–840.
- Jomelli V., D. Grancher, P. Naveau, D. Cooley and D. Brunstein. Assessment study of lichenometric methods for dating surfaces Geomorphology,86:1-2, 131–143. doi:10.1016/j.geomorph.2006.08.010.
- Naveau P., V. Jomelli, D. Cooley and A. Rabatel (2007). Modeling Uncertainties in Lichenometry Studies, Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research, vol. 39, 2, 277–285.
- Naveau P. and P. Poncet (2007). State-space models for precipitation maxima. Journal de la Socíet́e Francaise de Statistique et Revue de Statistique Appliqúee, vol. 148, pp 107–120.
- Puceat E., C. Lecuyer, Y. Donnadieu, P. Naveau, H. Cappetta, G. Ramstein and B. T. Huber (2007). Fish tooth d18O revising Late Cretaceous meridional SST gradients, Geology, 07v. 35 ; no. 2 ; p. 107–110 ; doi : 10.1130/G23103A.1.
- Vannitsem S. and P. Naveau (2007). Spatial dependences among precipitation maxima over Belgium, Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 14, 621–630.
- Vrac M. and P. Naveau. (2007). Stochastic downscaling of precipitation : From dry events to heavy rainfalls. Water Resources Research, 43, W07402, doi:10.1029/2006WR005308.
- Vrac M., P. Marbaix, D. Paillard and P. Naveau (2007). Non-linear statistical downscaling of present and LGM precipitation and temperatures over Europe, Clim. Past, 3, 669–682, 2007.
- Vrac M., P. Naveau and P. Drobinksy (2007). Modeling pairwise rainfall intensities, Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 14, 789–797.
- Yiou, P. Ribereau, Naveau P., M. Nogaj and R. Brazdil (2007). Statistical analysis of floods in Bohemia (Czech Republic) since 1827, Hydrological Sciences Journal, vol. 51(5), 930-945.
- Yiou P., R. Vautard, P. Naveau and C. Cassou Inconsistency of 2006/07 and previous decade fall/winter European warming with atmospheric flow change,Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L21808,doi:10.1029/2007GL031981.
2006
- M. Nogaj, P. Yiou, S. Parey, F. Malek and P. Naveau (2006) Intensity and Frequency of Temperature Extremes over the North Atlantic Region, Geophysical Research Letters, Geo. Res. Letters, vol. 33, L10801, doi :10.1029/2005GL024251.
- A. Juillet-Leclerc, S. Thiria, N. Le Bec, T. Delcroix, P. Naveau, D. Blamart and T. Correge, SPCZ migration and ENSO events during the XXth century as revealed by multi-proxies analyses of a Fiji massive coral, Geophysical Research Letters, vol 33.
- F. Borchi, P. Naveau, P. Keckhut, A. Hauchecorne and L. Goldfarb, Detecting variability changes in Arctic total ozone column, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 68 (2006) 1383-1395.
- D. Cooley, P. Naveau and P. Poncet, Variograms for spatial max-stable random fields (2006). in Lecture Notes In Statistics, Springer, Statistics for dependent data.
- P.A. Danis, V. Masson-Delmotte, M. Stievenard, M.T. Guillemin, V. Daux, Ph. Naveau and U. von Grafenstein, Reconstruction of past precipitation d18O using tree-ring cellulose d18O and d13C : a calibration study near Lac d’Annecy, France, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 2006
2005
- D. Cooley and P. Naveau and V. Jomelli, A Bayesian Hierarchical Extreme Value Model for Lichenometry, Environmetrics, 2005, 16, pp 1–20
- P. Naveau, M. Genton, and X. Shen. A skewed kalman filter. Journal of Multivariate Statistics, Volume 94, Issue 2, pages 382-400, 2005
- P. Naveau and C. Ammann, Statistical modeling of the impact of the volcanic forcing distribution on climate, Geophysical Research Letters, 2005, 32 :5
- P. Naveau and M. Nogaj and C. Ammann and P. Yiou and D. Cooley and V. Jomelli, Statistical Analysis of Climate Extremes, Comptes rendus Geosciences de l’Academie des Sciences, 2005, pp 1013–1022
- A. Rabatel and V. Jomelli and P. Naveau and B. Francou and D. Grancher, Dating of Little Ice Age glacier fluctuations in the tropical Andes : Charquini glaciers, Bolivia, 16S, Comptes rendus Geosciences de l’Academie des Sciences, 2005, 337 :5, pp 1311–1322
2004
- P. Naveau, M. Vrac, G. Genton, A. Ch ́edin and E. Diday, Two Statistical Methods For Improving the Analysis of Large Climatic Data Sets : General Skewed Kalman Filters and Distributions of Distributions, geoEnv IV-Geostatistics for Environmental Applications, 2004, pp 1-14, Kluwer Academic Publishers
- P. Naveau and H.S. Oh, Polynomial wavelet regression for images with irregular boundaries, IEEE Transactions on Image Processing, 2004, 13, 6, pp 773-781
- P. Naveau, M. Genton M. and C. Ammann, Time series analysis with a skewed Kalman filter, pp 259-278, Skew-Elliptical Distributions and Their Applications : a Journey Beyond Normality, Chapman and Hall CRC, Boca Raton, FL, 2004
- P. Naveau and D. Allard, Modeling Skewness in Spatial Data Analysis without Data Transformation, Proceedings of the Seventh International Geostatistics Congress (Banff Canada), 2004, Academic publishers
- D. Cooley, V. Jomelli and P. Naveau, Spatio-temporal Analysis of Extreme Values from Lichenometric Studies and their Relationships to Climate, Proceedings of TIES 2004 and ACCURACY 2004 : 6th International conference on Spatial Accuracy Assessment), 2004
2003
- P. Naveau, Almost Sure Relative Stability of the Maximum of a Stationary sequence, Advances in Applied Probability, 2003, 35, 3, pp 721-736
- P. Naveau, C. Ammann, H.S. Oh and W. Guo, An automatic statistical methodology to extract pulse like forcing factors in climatic time series, pp 177–186, Volcanism and the Earth’s Atmosphere, Geophys. Monograph, 2003
- C. Ammann and P. Naveau, Multi-decadal Periodicity in Tropical Explosive Volcanism, Geophys. Res. Letters, 2003, 30, pp 1210-1029
- H.S. Oh, C. Ammann, P. Naveau, D. Nychka and B. Otto-Bliesner, Multi-resolution time series analysis applied to solar irradiance and climate reconstructions, J. Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Phys., 2003, 65, pp 191-201
- P. Naveau and M. Moncrieff, A Statistical Formulation of Convective Mass Fluxes, Quaterly Journal of Royal Meteorology Society, 2003, 129, pp 2217-2233
- P. Naveau, R. Furrer and P. Keckhut, The spatio-temporal influence of the vortex on Arctic Total Column Ozone variability, The ISI International Conference on Environmental Statistics and Health, 2003, pp 131-139
2002
- R. Katz, M. Parlange, and P. Naveau. Extremes in hydrology. Advances in Water Resources, 25 :1287-1304, 2002
2001
- H.S. Oh, P. Naveau and G. Lee, Polynomial Boundary Treatment for Wavelet Regression, Biometrika, 2001, 88, 1, pp 291-298
- M. Vrac, E. Diday, P. Naveau and A. Ch ́edin, Mixture of distributions of distributions, Proceedings de la Societe Francophone de Classification, 2001
- P. Naveau, R. Katz and M. Moncrieff, Extremes and Climate : an Introduction and a Case Study, Notes de l’Institut Pierre Simon Laplace (ISSN 1626-8334), 2001, 11, pp 4-22
2000
- P. Naveau, M. Moncrieff, J.I. Yano and X. Wu, Exploratory Statistical Analysis of Tropical Oceanic Convection Using Discrete Wavelet Transforms, pp 117-132,Studies in Statistics and the Atmospheric Sciences, Lecture Notes in Statistics (ISBN 0-387-98757-6), Springer-Verlag, 2000
1999
- P. Naveau, P. Brockwell and D. Nychka, Dependence Structure of Random Wavelet Coefficients in Terms of Cumulants, Curve and Surface Fitting (ISBN 0-8265-1357-3), 1999, pp 343-350,Vanderbilt University Press Nashville TN
1998
- P. Naveau, Almost sure convergence of the maximum of a stationary sequence and asymptotic properties of probability weighted moments, (PhD dissertation) Department of Statistics, 1998,Colorado State University at Fort-Collins, USA
1997
- P. Naveau, Comparison between the Chernoff and Factorial Moments Bounds for discrete Random variables, The American Statistician, 1997, 51, pp 40-42
(+33) 1 69 08 41 58 
(+33) 1 69 08 77 16