Even if the global temperature rise is held to a limit of 2 °C, most of Europe will probably warm by substantially more.
A team led by Robert Vautard at the Pierre-Simon Laplace Institute in Gif-sur-Yvette, France, combined 6 global climate simulations with 15 simulations that focused on Europe. The team found that, in winter, warming in northern and eastern Europe would be more intense — with temperatures rising by up to 3 °C — whereas southern Europe would become much hotter in summer.
Winter precipitation would increase over central and northern Europe, and there would be less summer rain in the central and southern parts of the continent, the authors found.
Climate change European hotspot in a warmer world
Nature 508, 153
(10 April 2014)
09 April 2014