The project
Bringing key scientific innovations of climate emulator development to end users, the PROVIDE project allows for a risk focused perspective focused on threshold exceedance, linking global emission pathways to regional sectoral impacts and urban climate risk projections. This will allow for an explicit assessment of risks of exceeding adaptation limits into adaptation planning and inform necessary responses both in terms of local adaptation and global mitigation efforts. With its unique, multi-scenario setup, PROVIDE will allow to assess the unavoidable risks for threshold exceedance under any emission scenario, the avoidable risk by stringent mitigation in line with the Paris Agreement, and the reversible or irreversible risk beyond peak warming under overshoot scenarios. PROVIDE will assess risks of high-end global warming for sectoral impacts and potential irreversible impacts of overshoots including for sea level rise, permafrost loss, glacier loss and terrestrial and marine species.
