Philippe Naveau (+33) 1 69 08 41 58                                   (+33) 1 69 08 77 16 Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et l'Environnement (LSCE) CNRS Orme des Merisiers / Bat. 701 C.E. Saclay 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette FRANCE Batiment 701 Pièce 60A http://www.lsce.ipsl.fr/Pisp/44/philippe.naveau.html

Home     Publications      Talks

Publications

2013

• Alexis Hannart · Michael Ghil ·Jean-Louis Dufresne · P. Naveau. Disconcerting learning on climate sensitivity and the uncertain future of uncertainty, to appear in Climatic Change. Hannart13.pdf
• Bernard, E., Naveau, P., Vrac, M., and Mestre, O. (2013). Clustering of maxima: Spatial dependencies among heavy rainfall in france. Journal of Climate, In revision [R package, ClusterMax_1.0.tar.gz]. BenardJOCrevised.pdf
• Smith, I.,  A. Toreti, P.Naveau, and E. Xoplaki. A fast non-parametric inference for heavy precipitation (in prepa).
• Toulemonde  G., Guillou .A, Naveau P. Particle filtering for Gumbel distributed daily maxima of methane and nitrous oxide, Environmetrics 2013; 24: 51–62,  (ToulemeondGuillouNaveau13.pdf).
• Sabourin, A. , Naveau, P, Fougères, A.L, Bayesian Model averaging for Multivariate extremes,  Extremes, (2013)(SabourinNaveauFougeres13.pdf).
• Sabourin, A. , Naveau, P.  Dirichlet Mixture model for multivariate extremes.   To appear in Computational Statistics and Data Analysis.
• Ribereau P, Masiello E. and P. Naveau. Skew Generalized Extreme Value Distribution: Probability Weighted Moments Estimation and Application to Block Maxima Procedure (submitted).
• Guillou .A, Naveau P., You A., A folding methodology for multivariate extremes with application to the estimation of the spectral probability measure (submitted).
• A.  Guillou, P. Naveau, A. Schorgen, Madogram and asymptotic independence among maxima (submitted).
  
• Extracting Common Pulse-Like Signals from Multiple Ice Core Time Series", Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 58 (2013) 45–57Gazeaux J., Batista D., Ammann C., Naveau P., Jegat C. and Gao C Gazeauetla2013.pdf.

2012

• Hannart . and Naveau P. An improved Bayes Information Criterion for multiple change-point models. TECHNOMETRICS, AUGUST 2012, VOL. 54, NO. 3, HannartNaveauTechnometrics.pdf.

• Cooley D., R. A. Davis, P. Naveau. Approximating the Conditional Density Given Large Observed Values via a Multivariate Extremes Framework, with Application to Environmental Data., Ann. Appl. Stat. Volume 6, Number 4 (2012), 1406-1429. CooleyDavisNaveau12.pdf

• Gazeaux, J., Bekki, S., Naveau, P., Keckhut, P., Jumelet, J., Parades, J., and David, C. (2012). Detection of particle layers in backscatter profiles: application to antarctic lidar measurements. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 12(7):3205–3217.
• Challenges in Estimating and Understanding Recent Changes in the Frequency and Intensity of Extreme Climate and Weather Events

   Zwiers12.pdf

  Community Paper on Climate Extremes.  World Climate Research Programme Open Science Conference. Authors: F.W. Zwiers, L.V. Alexander, G.C. Hegerl, T.R. Knutson, P. Naveau, N. Nicholls, C. Schar, S.I. Seneviratne, and X. Zhang

2011

• D. Kim, H.-S. Oh,  P. Naveau, Hybrid wavelet denoising procedure of discontinuous surfaces, IET Image Process., 2011, Vol. 5, Iss. 8, pp. 684–692 doi: 10.1049/iet-ipr.2010.0231
• Naveau P., Zhengjun Zhang and Bin Zhu, An Extension of Max Autoregressive Models, Statistics and Its Interface, vol. 4, 2, p253-266, 2011.
• Ribereau P.,  Naveau P.,  Guillou A. note of caution when interpreting parameters of the distribution of excesses, Advances in Water Resources  34 (2011) 1215–1221
• Kallache M.,  M. Vrac, P. Naveau and P.-A. Michelangeli. Non-stationary probabilistic downscaling of extreme
  precipitation,JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 116, D05113, doi:10.1029/2010JD014892, 2011
• Gazeaux J., Flaounas E.,  Naveau P. and A. Hannart. Inferring change points and nonlinear trends in multivariate time series: Application to West African monsoon onset timings estimation. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 116, D05101, doi:10.1029/2010JD014723, 2011
• M. Ghil, P. Yiou, S. Hallegatte, B. D. Malamud, P. Naveau, A. Soloviev, P. Friederichs, V. Keilis-Borok, D. Kondrashov, V. Kossobokov, O. Mestre, C. Nicolis, H. Rust, P. Shebalin, M. Vrac, A. Witt and I. Zaliapin. Extreme Events: Dynamics, Statistics and Prediction. Nonlin. Proc. Geophys., 18, 295-350, 2011, doi:10.5194/npg-18-295-2011.
• P. Naveau (2011) Incertitudes, valeurs extrêmes et climatologie, C. Jeandel and R. Mosséry (Eds.) Le Climat à Découvert, CNRS Editions, Paris, pp. 133-136

2010

• Ammann C. M., and P. Naveau (2010), A Statistical Volcanic Forcing-Scenario Generator for Climate Simulations, JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, 115, D05107, doi:10.1029/2009JD012550
• Cooley D., R. A. Davis, P. Naveau. The pairwise beta distribution: A flexible parametric multivariate model for extremes. Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Volume 101, Issue 9, October 2010, Pages 2103-2117 
• Flecher, C., P. Naveau, D. Allard, and N. Brisson (2010), A stochastic daily weather generator for skewed data, Water Resour. Res., 46, W07519, doi:10.1029/2009WR008098.  
•  Flecher C., D.  Allard and P. Naveau. Truncated skew-normal distributions: moments, estimation by weighted moments and application to climatic data. METRON - International Journal of Statistics 2010, vol. LXVIII, n. 3, pp. 265-279.
• Jomelli, V., Naveau, P.,  Cooley D., Grancher, D., Brunstein, D., and Rabatel, A., A response to Bradwell's commentary on recent statistical studies in lichenometry. Geografisca Annaler, 2010 (in press).
• Kallache M. , E. Maksimovich, P.A. Michelangeli, P. Naveau. Multimodel Combination by a Bayesian Hierarchical Model: Assessment of Ice Accumulation over the Oceanic Arctic Region. Journal of Climate Volume 23, Issue 20 (October 2010) pp. 5421-5436 doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3107.1 
• Yiou P., E. Bard, P. Dandin, B. Legras, P. Naveau, H. Rust, L. Terray, and M. Vrac. Statistical issues about solar-climate relations. Climate of the Past, 6, 565-573, doi:10.5194/cp-6-565-2010, 2010
• You A., U. Schneider, A. Guillou, P. Naveau. Improving extreme quantile estimation via a folding procedure. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, Volume 140, Issue 7, July 2010, Pages 1775-1787..

2009

• Carreau J., P. Naveau and E. Sauquet. A Statistical Rainfall-Runoff Mixture Model with Heavy-Tailed Compo-
  nents, WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, VOL. 45, W10437, doi:10.1029/2009WR007880, 2009
• Boreux J.J, P. Naveau, O. Guin, L. Perreault, and J. Bernier, Extracting a common high frequency signal from
  northern Quebec black spruce tree-rings with a Bayesian hierarchical model, Clim. Past, 5, 607–613, 2009 www.clim-past.net/5/607/2009.
• Hannart A. and P. Naveau. Bayesian multiple change-points and segmentation : application to homogenization of climatic series, Water Resources Research (2009). doi:10.1029/2008WR007689
• Hannart A., J.-L. Dufresne and P. Naveau. Why climate sensitivity may not be so unpredictable. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 36, L16707, doi:10.1029/2009GL039640, 2009
• Naveau P., Guillou A., D. Cooley and J. Diebolt. Modeling Pairwise Dependence of Maxima in Space. Biometrika,
  (2009), 96, 1, pp. 1–17 doi : 10.1093/biomet/asp001.
• Guillou A., P. Naveau, D. Diebolt and P. Ribereau, Return level bounds for discrete and continuous random variables, Test (2009) 18: 584–604 DOI 10.1007/s11749-008-0125-7
• Salameh T., P. Drobinski, M. Vrac and P. Naveau, Statistical downscaling of near-surface wind over complex
  terrain in southern France, Meteorol Atmos Phys 103, 253–265 (2009) DOI 10.1007/s00703-008-0330-7
• Flecher C., P. Naveau and D. Allard. Estimating the closed skew-normal distributions parameters using weighted moments, Statistics and Probability Letters 79 (2009) 1977–1984. doi:10.1016/j.spl.2009.06.004
• Toulemonde G., Guillou A., Naveau P. , M. Vrac, and F. Chevallier. Autoregressive models for maxima and their applications to CH4, Environmetrics (2009), DOI : 10.1002/env.992.

2008

• Bernacchia A. and P. Naveau (2008). Detecting spatial patterns with the cumulant function. Part I : The theory, Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 15, 159–167.
• Ribereau P, A. Guillou and P. Naveau. Estimating return levels from maxima of non-stationary random
  sequences,  Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 15, 1–7, 2008 www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/15/1/2008/
• Bernacchia A., P. Naveau, M. Vrac and P. Yiou (2008). Detecting spatial
  patterns with the cumulant function. Part II: An application to El Nino,  Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 15, 169–177.
• Rabatel, A., V. Jomelli, B. Francou and P. Naveau (2008). A chronology of the
  Little Ice Age in the tropical Andes of Bolivia (16S) based on moraine dating by lichenometry: implications for climate reconstruction. Quaternary Research, 70 (2), p.198-212, Sep 2008 .
• Dielbolt J., Guillou A., Naveau, P. and Ribereau P. (2008). Improving Probability-Weighted Moment Methods for the Generalized Extreme Value Distribution, Volume 6, Number 1, 33-50, RevStat.
• Jomelli V., V. Favier, A. Rabatel, D. Brunstein, P. Naveau, G. Hoffmann, B. Francou. (2008).Fluctuations of Andean tropical glaciers since the last millennium and palaeoclimatic implication: a review. Paleogeography, Paleoclimatology Paleoecology (in press).
  

  2007

• Allard D. and P. Naveau, Simulating and analyzing Spatial Skew Normal random fields (2007). Communications in Statistics Volume 36, Issue 9.
• Furrer R. and Naveau P., Probability Weighted Moments Properties for Small Samples (2007). Satistics and Probability Letters, 77 190-195.
• Cooley D., D. Nychka and P. Naveau (2007). Bayesian Spatial Modeling of Extreme Precipitation Return Levels, Journal of The American Statistical Associatio,  102(479):824–840.
• Jomelli V., D. Grancher, P. Naveau, D. Cooley and D. Brunstein. Assessment study of lichenometric methods for dating surfaces Geomorphology,86:1-2, 131–143. doi:10.1016/j.geomorph.2006.08.010.
• Naveau P., V. Jomelli, D. Cooley and A. Rabatel (2007). Modeling Uncertainties in Lichenometry Studies, Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research, vol. 39, 2, 277–285.
• Naveau P. and P. Poncet (2007). State-space models for precipitation maxima. Journal de la Socíet́e Francaise de Statistique et Revue de Statistique Appliqúee, vol. 148, pp 107–120.
• Puceat E., C. Lecuyer, Y. Donnadieu, P. Naveau, H. Cappetta, G. Ramstein and B. T. Huber (2007). Fish tooth d18O revising Late Cretaceous meridional SST gradients, Geology, 07v. 35 ; no. 2 ; p. 107–110 ; doi : 10.1130/G23103A.1.
• Vannitsem S. and P. Naveau (2007). Spatial dependences among precipitation maxima over Belgium, Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 14, 621–630.
• Vrac M. and P. Naveau. (2007). Stochastic downscaling of precipitation : From dry events to heavy rainfalls. Water Resources Research, 43, W07402, doi:10.1029/2006WR005308.
• Vrac M., P. Marbaix, D. Paillard and P. Naveau (2007). Non-linear statistical downscaling of present and LGM precipitation and temperatures over Europe, Clim. Past, 3, 669–682, 2007.
• Vrac M., P. Naveau and P. Drobinksy (2007). Modeling pairwise rainfall intensities, Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 14, 789–797.
• Yiou, P. Ribereau, Naveau P., M. Nogaj and R. Brazdil (2007). Statistical analysis of floods in Bohemia (Czech Republic) since 1827, Hydrological Sciences Journal, vol. 51(5), 930-945.
• Yiou P., R. Vautard, P. Naveau and C. Cassou Inconsistency of 2006/07 and previous decade fall/winter European warming with atmospheric flow change,Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L21808,doi:10.1029/2007GL031981.

2006

• M. Nogaj, P. Yiou, S. Parey, F. Malek and P. Naveau (2006) Intensity and Frequency of Temperature Extremes over the North Atlantic Region, Geophysical Research Letters, Geo. Res. Letters, vol. 33, L10801, doi :10.1029/2005GL024251.
• A. Juillet-Leclerc, S. Thiria, N. Le Bec, T. Delcroix, P. Naveau, D. Blamart and T. Correge, SPCZ migration and ENSO events during the XXth century as revealed by multi-proxies analyses of a Fiji massive coral, Geophysical Research Letters, vol 33.
• F. Borchi, P. Naveau, P. Keckhut, A. Hauchecorne and L. Goldfarb, Detecting variability changes in Arctic total ozone column, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 68 (2006) 1383-1395.
• D. Cooley, P. Naveau and P. Poncet, Variograms for spatial max-stable random fields (2006). in Lecture Notes In Statistics, Springer, Statistics for dependent data.
• P.A. Danis, V. Masson-Delmotte, M. Stievenard, M.T. Guillemin, V. Daux, Ph. Naveau and U. von Grafenstein, Reconstruction of past precipitation d18O using tree-ring cellulose d18O and d13C : a calibration study near Lac d’Annecy, France, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 2006

2005

• D. Cooley and P. Naveau and V. Jomelli, A Bayesian Hierarchical Extreme Value Model for Lichenometry, Environmetrics, 2005, 16, pp 1–20
• P. Naveau, M. Genton, and X. Shen. A skewed kalman filter. Journal of Multivariate Statistics, Volume 94, Issue 2, pages 382-400, 2005
• P. Naveau and C. Ammann, Statistical modeling of the impact of the volcanic forcing distribution on climate, Geophysical Research Letters, 2005, 32 :5
• P. Naveau and M. Nogaj and C. Ammann and P. Yiou and D. Cooley and V. Jomelli, Statistical Analysis of Climate Extremes, Comptes rendus Geosciences de l’Academie des Sciences, 2005, pp 1013–1022
• A. Rabatel and V. Jomelli and P. Naveau and B. Francou and D. Grancher, Dating of Little Ice Age glacier fluctuations in the tropical Andes : Charquini glaciers, Bolivia, 16S, Comptes rendus Geosciences de l’Academie des Sciences, 2005, 337 :5, pp 1311–1322

2004

• P. Naveau, M. Vrac, G. Genton, A. Ch ́edin and E. Diday, Two Statistical Methods For Improving the Analysis of Large Climatic Data Sets : General Skewed Kalman Filters and Distributions of Distributions, geoEnv IV-Geostatistics for Environmental Applications, 2004, pp 1-14, Kluwer Academic Publishers
• P. Naveau and H.S. Oh, Polynomial wavelet regression for images with irregular boundaries, IEEE Transactions on Image Processing, 2004, 13, 6, pp 773-781
• P. Naveau, M. Genton M. and C. Ammann, Time series analysis with a skewed Kalman filter, pp 259-278, Skew-Elliptical Distributions and Their Applications : a Journey Beyond Normality, Chapman and Hall CRC, Boca Raton, FL, 2004
• P. Naveau and D. Allard, Modeling Skewness in Spatial Data Analysis without Data Transformation, Proceedings of the Seventh International Geostatistics Congress (Banff Canada), 2004, Academic publishers
• D. Cooley, V. Jomelli and P. Naveau, Spatio-temporal Analysis of Extreme Values from Lichenometric Studies and their Relationships to Climate, Proceedings of TIES 2004 and ACCURACY 2004 : 6th International conference on Spatial Accuracy Assessment), 2004
  

  2003

• P. Naveau, Almost Sure Relative Stability of the Maximum of a Stationary sequence, Advances in Applied Probability, 2003, 35, 3, pp 721-736
• P. Naveau, C. Ammann, H.S. Oh and W. Guo, An automatic statistical methodology to extract pulse like forcing factors in climatic time series, pp 177–186, Volcanism and the Earth’s Atmosphere, Geophys. Monograph, 2003
• C. Ammann and P. Naveau, Multi-decadal Periodicity in Tropical Explosive Volcanism, Geophys. Res. Letters, 2003, 30, pp 1210-1029
• H.S. Oh, C. Ammann, P. Naveau, D. Nychka and B. Otto-Bliesner, Multi-resolution time series analysis applied to solar irradiance and climate reconstructions, J. Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Phys., 2003, 65, pp 191-201
• P. Naveau and M. Moncrieff, A Statistical Formulation of Convective Mass Fluxes, Quaterly Journal of Royal Meteorology Society, 2003, 129, pp 2217-2233
• P. Naveau, R. Furrer and P. Keckhut, The spatio-temporal influence of the vortex on Arctic Total Column Ozone variability, The ISI International Conference on Environmental Statistics and Health, 2003, pp 131-139

2002

• R. Katz, M. Parlange, and P. Naveau. Extremes in hydrology. Advances in Water Resources, 25 :1287-1304, 2002

2001

• H.S. Oh, P. Naveau and G. Lee, Polynomial Boundary Treatment for Wavelet Regression, Biometrika, 2001, 88, 1, pp 291-298
• M. Vrac, E. Diday, P. Naveau and A. Ch ́edin, Mixture of distributions of distributions, Proceedings de la Societe Francophone de Classification, 2001
• P. Naveau, R. Katz and M. Moncrieff, Extremes and Climate : an Introduction and a Case Study, Notes de l’Institut Pierre Simon Laplace (ISSN 1626-8334), 2001, 11, pp 4-22
  

  2000

• P. Naveau, M. Moncrieff, J.I. Yano and X. Wu, Exploratory Statistical Analysis of Tropical Oceanic Convection Using Discrete Wavelet Transforms, pp 117-132,Studies in Statistics and the Atmospheric Sciences, Lecture Notes in Statistics (ISBN 0-387-98757-6), Springer-Verlag, 2000

1999

• P. Naveau, P. Brockwell and D. Nychka, Dependence Structure of Random Wavelet Coefficients in Terms of Cumulants, Curve and Surface Fitting (ISBN 0-8265-1357-3), 1999, pp 343-350,Vanderbilt University Press Nashville TN

1998

• P. Naveau, Almost sure convergence of the maximum of a stationary sequence and asymptotic properties of probability weighted moments, (PhD dissertation) Department of Statistics,  1998,Colorado State University at Fort-Collins, USA

1997

•  P. Naveau, Comparison between the Chernoff and Factorial Moments Bounds for discrete Random variables, The American Statistician, 1997, 51, pp 40-42

Movie associated to the article "A fast non-parametric inference of heavy precipitation" (in preparation)

Hannart13.pdf

BenardJOCrevised.pdf